Fin des quotas laitiers, contractualisation et stratégies productives : enseignements d’une modélisation bioéconomique
Abstract
Milk quotas, introduced in France in 1984, will be ended by 2015. This paper, based on a "bio-economic" model, discusses the main productive and economic implications of this important change of the Common Agricultural Policy (CAP). We assumed that, with the abolishment of milk quotas, a contracting system of "double volume with different prices" will be implemented between producers and dairy processors. The model maximizes the farm income while taking into account a set of constraints: zootechnical, agronomical, environmental, structural and regulatory. This model, which integrates the risk of price volatility, is applied to four types of farms reflecting a part of the farms' diversity located in the west of France. According to the results of this modeling approach, it appears that many dairy farms located in this region have, thanks to changes in their production strategies (intensification, specialization), a large potential to increase milk production, with the same structure. The amount of extra milk which may be produced will depend on the evolution of demand for dairy products and the competitiveness of the dairy industries. For a given farm, these additional quantities depend on the price of milk produced in volume A and B, the relative prices between agricultural products (milk, beef and cereals) and a possible strengthening of environmental constraints.
Attachments
No supporting information for this article##plugins.generic.statArticle.title##
Views: 671
Most read articles by the same author(s)
- V. CHATELLIER , H. GUYOMARD , K. LE BRIS , Beef consumption in the world and the European Union : recent evolutions and prospects , INRAE Productions Animales: Vol. 16 No. 5 (2003): Numéro Spécial : Avenir des filières animales
- V. CHATELLIER, A. PFLIMLIN, C. PERROT, Dairy production in the European Atlantic Arc , INRAE Productions Animales: Vol. 21 No. 5 (2008)
- V. CHATELLIER, Impact of a milk price decrease on economic results of French dairy farms , INRAE Productions Animales: Vol. 15 No. 1 (2002)
- F. COLSON, V. CHATELLIER, A. RIDIER, L’impact des propositions de réforme de la PAC (Agenda 2000) sur les systèmes d’élevage bovin français , INRAE Productions Animales: Vol. 11 No. 2 (1998)
- V. CHATELLIER, F. COLSON, M. FUENTES, T. VARD, Grazing livestock holdings in European union , INRAE Productions Animales: Vol. 13 No. 3 (2000)
- F. COLSON, V. CHATELLIER, French suckler farms are among the most extensive in the European community , INRAE Productions Animales: Vol. 9 No. 4 (1996)
- F. COLSON, V. CHATELLIER, The new CAP reform (Agenda 2000) : moderate income decrease and direct support increase for French beef meat producers , INRAE Productions Animales: Vol. 12 No. 3 (1999)
- V. CHATELLIER , H. GUYOMARD , K. LE BRIS , The World Trade Organization rounds on agriculture : prospects for animal productions in the European Union , INRAE Productions Animales: Vol. 16 No. 5 (2003): Numéro Spécial : Avenir des filières animales
- V. CHATELLIER , J.C. GUESDON , H. GUYOMARD , C. PERROT , Les producteurs d’ovins et les éleveurs laitiers extensifs sont les principaux bénéficiaires de l’application française du bilan de santé de la PAC , INRAE Productions Animales: Vol. 23 No. 3 (2010)
- V. CHATELLIER, V. JACQUERIE, Diversity of the European dairy farms and potential effects of the Common agricultural policy reform , INRAE Productions Animales: Vol. 17 No. 4 (2004)